Who We Are

George Sugihara, Ph.D.
Dr. Sugihara (Ph.D., Princeton University) is a theoretician who has worked across a diverse variety of fields including algebraic topology, algal physiology and paleoecology; more recently, ecology, neurobiology, atmospheric science, and finance. His research interests include complexity theory, nonlinear dynamics, food-web structure, species abundance patterns, conservation biology/ biological control, empirical climate modeling and systemic risk in the financial sector.

One of his most interdisciplinary contributions involves the work he developed with Lord Robert May concerning methods for forecasting nonlinear and chaotic systems. This took him into the arena of investment banking, where he took a 5-year leave from academe to become Managing Director for Deutsche Bank. There he made a successful application of these theoretical methods to forecast erratic market behavior.

During the last financial crisis, he was called upon to provide advice on questions of systemic risk to the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and to The United States Federal Reserve System, and has appeared on panels on this subject with Peter Orsage, Henry Kissinger, Dick Cheney and Paul Volker. In 2009 he was interviewed and subsequently solicited for the position of Chief Scientist of NOAA at the level of Assistant Secretary Department of Commerce. His long-standing academic interest in true out- of-sample forecasting and in nonlinear (unstable, non-equilibrium) systems is having impact in various practical realms, where the implications of such behavior (eg. for management of risk or resources) are profound.

A former holder of the John Dove Isaacs Chair of Natural Philosophy at Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, Dr. Sugihara is also the recipient of various international awards, and currently holds the MacQuown Chair in Natural Science at Scripps. He was a Visiting Research Fellow at Merton College, Oxford.

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